TSUNAMI TUESDAY: My thoughts

Tonight was a big win for Obama. Yeah, I’m bummed that he didn’t win CA, but not surprised. As I’ll keep repeating, the voters of CA are incredible morons and supremely moderate. They never want to try something new. Uninformed stick-in-the-muds is my polite company term for the majority of our voters.

But back to the numbers…As of this writing, Obama has won 13 states with one more possibly going his way. His numbers are going up in CA, if these people could get some ballot counting going on. The spin from the Clinton campaign is that her 8 state wins are “unexpected”. If you believe that, you probably have bigger things to worry about, like how to talk and walk at the same time. Especially the Massachusetts win. No one with eyes and a brain expected Obama to win Massachusetts, the numbers just weren’t there. Clinton outspent Obama there, because he had the backing of the governor and two Senators. The ROI for her delegates must be worth it. Np shock that New York went to Clinton, everyone won their home states. No shock New Jersey went for Clinton, I hear they have problems with black people there AND it’s in Clinton’s backyard. Damn, what did she spend all that money on? These are states she was supposed to win.

What is shocking is Obama’s wins in some states. As I wrote at Jack and Jill Politics:

Obama was down 20 or 30 points in some of these states 3 months ago. He was down 10 – 15 points in some of these places 3 weeks ago. Tonight is HUGE for the Obama campaign. Clinton had to fight and that was unexpected no matter how hard her campaign tries to spin it.

That list of states won by Obama is huge. Some of those places have like 3 black people there and two of them are just visiting. It was a very big night.

Know that. Understand because as B-Serious wrote, this is why Clinton’s itching for some debates:

Other than that, it looks like Obama has Clinton right where he wants her. Want proof? All of a sudden, Hillary wants to schedule a series of debates. The media picked up on this. Hillary is looking for free publicity. Why? Because she’s losing the fundraising wars at a rate of more than 2 to 1. Plus, she knows that the next wave of contests favor Obama.

That dawned on me a couple of hours ago…I couldn’t figure out why Clinton would all of a sudden want weekly debates when she was bitching about the number of debates back in August. It’s obvious she feels that she does well in debates and Obama kinda doesn’t. My husband pointed out that the debates would keep Obama off the campaign trail and then I noted the free publicity.

Over at FirstRead they’ve given us a cute little breakdown:

OBAMA
13 states
9 red states / 4 blue states

CLINTON
8 states
4 red states / 4 blue states

Um…what’s that about electability again?

On the GOP side, I’m just shaking my head. McCain, who thinks he’s all conservative only won in those states where people fell for that “maverick” bullshit. The northeast. You know that section of the country conservatives sneer at for whatever unbalanced reason. That’s McCain’s territory.

Huckabee won the Bible Belt. Are we surprised? Nope. Huckabee went on TV even pretending like he’s this great uniter and can reach diverse people. I’m like, “Dude, you lost to crazy-ass Ron Paul in two states. What does that say about you?” Folks don’t want the Constitution replaced by your special version of the Bible and all your religious code in tonight’s speech was utterly disgusting. Knock it off, Gomer. How is this guy really an electable candidate when he’s getting 7% of the vote in states where they prefer white male, Christians?

When MSNBC called North Dakota for Mitt Romney, Keith Olbermann said, “Romney finally won a state that he didn’t live in at some point. That we know of.” Do you know what that means? Romney dropped $35M of his own money so people wouldn’t vote for him. Or Romney dropped $35M of his own money on people who would have voted for him anyway. That guy’s a successful businessman? I have to admit I’m a bit shocked he lost CA and I’m thisclose to expecting vote fraud, and if we didn’t have a kickass Secretary of State who makes sure we have fair elections I probably would. The Romney campaign said they were going to be having “frank discussions” tomorrow. I can tell what is going to be said, “Dad. You better stop spending our inheritance!”

If you rolled up all the GOP candidates into one, yeah, you’d have a walking ball of stupid, but at least it would be ball of stupid the average GOP voter could get behind, like their last ball of stupid. This fracture in the GOP party is interesting. It’s such a top-down organization. They tell people what to think and those people repeat it no matter how stupid. There’s no leadership. There’s no one telling them what to think. People are tired of pundit class choosing the candidates, while the pundit class can’t seem to hear these people telling them to STFU. There’s no leadership from anyone anywhere. No cohesiveness. Hey, they’re almost like Democrats. But rabid.

Now we go back to electability. You look at that map and look at Obama’s spread throughout the United States. He could rout any of those Republicans. What’s Clinton got? The typical “liberal” strongholds, state she was expected to win and Oklahoma.

Yeah, I know who I’m backing.

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4 thoughts on “TSUNAMI TUESDAY: My thoughts

  1. Well, it’s 3:30 am in Texas, and I am 1) still awake; 2) working on my latest post about Hillary and Iraq; 3) waiting to see if more election results come in; and 4) occasionally watching the movie “Batman” (the 1966 version).

    I haven’t looked at the exit poll results, but that won’t stop me from throwing in my 2 cents.

    13 states for Obama is a good showing. I am hoping that NM will make 14 and that once all the votes are counting out where you are he will end up with 45%. From what I heard the last few days, that could be considered a very successful result.

    Now for some more observations…Obama won his home state (which actually is also Hillary’s home state) with a greater % of the vote and by a wider margin than Hillary won NY.

    The facts that Obama won big in Utah and really big in Idaho seems significant. I am not sure one could name two whiter states in the country. Maybe a list of “really white states” could include Minnesota and North Dakota, and, gee, Obama won big in those states as well “Electability,” indeed.

    I heard on NPR that in Alabama many of the old guard black political leaders endorsed Hillary, but the black vote went mostly to Obama. That certainly reflects what you have said in opther posts.

    Obama won Connecticut, which is also basically in Hillary’s NY backyard.

    And what about all the votes for Edwards? I’ve got some interesting theories, but since I guessed he would make an endorsement befor today, I’m not going to proclaim their accuracy. 🙂

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  2. Since I was stuck in a flipping board meeting until nearly midnight last night, I am so so thankful for these summaries you posted. I agree with everything you say above. Hillary requesting all these debates is all ABOUT free publicity and because she knows she is – at the moment – better at those. My hope for yesterday was for Obama to keep it close – and he did. Great breakdown showing the red states he won. Fascinating how he has dominated the mountain states! But now Obama can tap into more fund raising, he already has more than Hillary and I really think things worked out well for him yesterday.
    Yeah, you know who I am backing too 🙂

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  3. A meeting ’til midnight??? That ain’t right. You deserve a day off after that. I guess you gotta wait ’til April though, huh? I’m bouncing off the walls here. Every time I look at that map I get happy again.

    I just got back from the coffeeshop and they were kinda bummed he didn’t win California. I said, “Don’t worry about it. When he’s the nominee, he’ll take it.” I explained to them the money situation, how Clinton outspent Obama and still only won states she was expected to win. On top of that, Obama raised more money than Clinton in Jan. almost 3 to 1. That’s ginormous! From my view we only have one candidate that can win across the country and that candidate is Obama.

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